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Red75
610223.8
562222.6
448215.6
Blue94
596327.4
574527.6
525624.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5884020401001201407594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6102
#34
23.80.6
21.822.4
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End2.4
blue by 3.8
5745
#16
27.60.4
25.626.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End4.0
Second
5622
#22
22.60.6
21.622.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 4.8
5963
#36
27.40.4
27.227.6
Auto8.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
Third
4482
#40
15.60.6
17.317.9
Auto7.7
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 9.3
5256
#10
24.90.4
25.325.7
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed