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Red140
205439.9
276744.8
481934.3
Blue136
362052.4
90431.8
432535.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161198090100110130140150160140136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.8
43.645.4
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End5.9
blue by 7.6
52.41.1
49.350.4
Auto10.5
Teleop35.4
End6.4
Second
2054
#20
39.91.8
38.440.2
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
red by 4.2
35.71.1
33.134.1
Auto8.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Third
4819
#23
34.31.8
31.333.0
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
red by 2.5
904
#18
31.81.1
32.633.7
Auto10.1
Teleop13.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned