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Red131
357237.8
247435.6
496742.5
Blue32
613818.2
600232.0
433719.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1167920406010014016018013132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.6
38.540.1
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End5.5
red by 10.5
6002
#19
32.04.0
34.330.3
Auto5.5
Teleop23.9
End2.6
Second
37.81.6
35.036.7
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End4.1
red by 18.3
4337
#29
19.54.0
24.720.7
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Third
2474
#12
35.61.6
33.334.9
Auto9.6
Teleop20.5
End5.5
red by 17.4
6138
#31
18.24.0
23.219.2
Auto2.9
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed