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Red70
566415.9
524625.6
606526.3
Blue99
600513.1
387527.2
85837.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73760501001502007099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6065
#21
26.30.4
28.127.7
Auto7.7
Teleop13.8
End4.8
blue by 11.4
858
#11
37.71.4
36.437.7
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End5.1
Second
5246
#37
25.60.4
27.326.9
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End3.5
blue by 1.7
3875
#24
27.21.4
26.327.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.0
End3.7
Third
5664
#38
15.90.4
16.015.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End2.7
red by 2.8
6005
#35
13.12.0
11.013.0
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed