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Red109
89426.0
608628.9
505621.7
Blue112
550224.1
353531.9
499420.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9485204060120140160109112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.2
28.228.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.4
End2.7
blue by 3.0
3535
#10
31.90.5
29.630.1
Auto10.5
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Second
894
#14
26.00.2
25.325.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End2.6
red by 1.9
5502
#17
24.10.5
21.922.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End7.4
Third
5056
#24
21.70.2
21.021.2
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End3.3
red by 1.1
4994
#23
20.60.5
18.318.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End2.1