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Red103
550224.1
353531.9
499420.6
Blue112
7030.3
438436.1
508423.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8911720406080100140160180103112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#10
31.90.1
32.031.9
Auto10.5
Teleop16.5
End4.9
blue by 4.2
36.10.0
36.436.5
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End5.9
Second
5502
#17
24.10.1
24.224.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End7.4
blue by 6.1
70
#6
30.30.0
30.630.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Third
4994
#23
20.60.1
20.620.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End2.1
blue by 2.9
5084
#25
23.50.0
23.823.9
Auto5.3
Teleop14.7
End3.5