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Red54
561225.4
505325.5
525116.7
Blue27
566016.2
32215.3
553816.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5744020801005427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#11
25.50.0
21.621.6
Auto4.1
Teleop16.5
End4.8
red by 9.1
5538
#38
16.42.0
17.915.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.1
End1.8
Second
5612
#13
25.40.0
20.320.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.5
End4.1
red by 9.2
5660
#29
16.22.0
13.111.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Third
5251
#15
16.70.0
11.811.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.6
End3.0
red by 1.4
322
#35
15.32.0
13.811.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed