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Red70
365631.3
606719.7
548720.1
Blue72
608628.9
564118.5
569412.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73442060801001207072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.4
29.730.1
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End6.3
red by 2.4
28.91.6
19.921.5
Auto9.8
Teleop16.4
End2.7
Second
5487
#28
20.10.4
16.416.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End3.1
red by 1.6
5641
#33
18.51.6
17.118.7
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End2.4
Third
6067
#20
19.70.4
20.220.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 7.3
5694
#34
12.41.6
10.412.0
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed