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Red32
564118.5
46821.7
499420.6
Blue61
89426.0
126.5
515032.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516502040801001201403261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
468
#32
21.72.2
17.415.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
blue by 11.1
32.70.0
18.718.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.0
End5.5
Second
4994
#23
20.62.2
19.517.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End2.1
blue by 6.0
1
#18
26.50.0
23.423.4
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End4.5
Third
5641
#33
18.52.2
14.912.7
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End2.4
blue by 7.5
894
#14
26.00.0
18.818.8
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed