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Red41
550224.1
569412.4
556122.1
Blue59
511437.5
437626.5
561225.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496402040801001201404159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5502
#17
24.12.6
18.616.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End7.4
blue by 13.3
37.50.1
23.123.0
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End6.0
Second
5561
#16
22.12.6
15.112.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End4.0
blue by 4.4
26.50.1
19.018.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Third
5694
#34DQ
12.42.6
16.013.3
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.9
blue by 13.0
5612
#13
25.40.1
18.017.8
Auto9.7
Teleop11.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed