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Red62
356820.6
569412.4
46821.7
Blue75
521514.6
499812.6
438436.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526402040801001206275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
468
#32
21.70.7
21.021.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
blue by 14.4
36.11.1
35.536.5
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End5.9
Second
3568
#19
20.60.7
20.020.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.2
End3.2
red by 6.0
5215
#39
14.61.1
13.514.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Third
5694
#34
12.40.7
11.712.4
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.9
blue by 0.2
4998
#40
12.61.1
11.512.6
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned30%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed