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Red81
552425.7
608628.9
523414.7
Blue71
525116.7
132217.8
508423.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6955204060801001208171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.2
27.028.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.4
End2.7
red by 5.4
5084
#25
23.51.2
22.823.9
Auto5.3
Teleop14.7
End3.5
Second
5524
#12
25.71.2
24.625.9
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End4.3
red by 7.9
1322
#30
17.81.2
17.118.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Third
5234
#37
14.71.2
12.914.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 2.0
5251
#15
16.71.2
15.516.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed