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Red116
550224.1
353531.9
499420.6
Blue120
7030.3
438436.1
508423.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8711720406080100140160180116120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#10
31.90.5
31.532.0
Auto10.5
Teleop16.5
End4.9
blue by 4.2
36.10.1
36.336.4
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End5.9
Second
5502
#17
24.10.5
23.824.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End7.4
blue by 6.1
70
#6
30.30.1
30.630.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Third
4994
#23
20.60.5
20.220.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End2.1
blue by 2.9
5084
#25
23.50.1
23.723.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.7
End3.5