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Red114
365631.3
546030.6
608121.7
Blue86
552425.7
437626.5
356820.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1089140608010012014016018011486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.2
31.631.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End6.3
red by 4.8
26.50.2
26.626.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Second
30.60.2
30.931.1
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End7.2
red by 4.8
5524
#12
25.70.2
25.925.7
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End4.3
Third
6081
#21
21.70.2
22.022.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
red by 1.1
3568
#19
20.60.2
20.720.5
Auto4.2
Teleop13.2
End3.2