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Red65
83023.4
261233.2
283440.4
Blue45
85726.4
167714.1
550122.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74660501001502006545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.7
26.726.0
Auto10.1
Teleop23.0
End7.2
red by 14.0
857
#13
26.42.3
25.222.9
Auto5.4
Teleop16.7
End4.3
Second
33.20.7
24.323.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.4
End6.3
red by 10.6
5501
#37
22.62.3
21.319.1
Auto2.9
Teleop14.6
End5.0
Third
830
#24
23.40.7
20.219.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End5.0
red by 9.2
1677
#34
14.12.3
19.016.7
Auto1.0
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed