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Red40
601115.2
567528.6
524824.0
Blue41
365826.9
258626.9
60539.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5757203040507080904041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#16
28.62.9
21.718.9
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
red by 1.7
3658
#17
26.91.3
19.618.4
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End3.7
Second
5248
#19
24.02.9
18.315.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End4.3
blue by 2.9
2586
#12
26.92.1
19.617.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End4.2
Third
6011
#39
15.25.1
17.812.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End2.4
red by 5.9
6053
#38
9.32.8
16.413.5
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed32%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed