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Red69
567528.6
519424.4
516118.3
Blue12
613814.9
61379.6
620819.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553402040801001206912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#16
28.61.5
18.720.2
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
red by 9.1
6208
#20
19.52.7
13.510.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
Second
24.41.5
18.620.1
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End3.8
red by 9.5
6138
#40
14.92.7
14.812.2
Auto2.5
Teleop10.3
End2.1
Third
5161
#32
18.31.5
13.114.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End2.7
red by 8.6
6137
#35
9.62.7
7.65.0
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed