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Red109
283440.4
515222.8
107627.7
Blue70
609215.5
261233.2
600231.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62450208010010970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.45.2
26.932.0
Auto10.1
Teleop23.0
End7.2
red by 7.2
33.22.7
22.024.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.4
End6.3
Second
27.75.2
13.118.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.4
blue by 3.9
6002
#11
31.52.7
18.120.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.7
End3.6
Third
5152
#25
22.85.2
17.322.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
red by 7.3
6092
#33
15.52.7
5.78.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned30%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed