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Red64
365826.9
571025.2
609215.5
Blue57
516118.3
448218.6
611916.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544302060801006457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#17
26.90.6
19.720.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End3.7
red by 8.3
4482
#26
18.61.6
18.620.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.5
Second
25.20.9
21.222.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End5.1
red by 6.9
5161
#32
18.31.6
14.616.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End2.7
Third
6092
#33
15.50.9
9.610.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 1.2
6119
#27
16.61.6
9.711.3
Auto1.9
Teleop12.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed