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Red35
61379.6
261125.7
550122.6
Blue30
167714.1
60539.3
567528.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4549102030406070803530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#14
25.71.0
21.820.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End4.4
blue by 3.0
5675
#16
28.61.9
22.320.4
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
Second
5501
#37
22.61.0
16.415.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.6
End5.0
red by 8.4
1677
#34
14.11.9
15.013.0
Auto1.0
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Third
6137
#35
9.61.0
5.94.9
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End1.1
red by 0.3
6053
#38
9.31.9
10.18.1
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed