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Red79
546220.7
445327.9
83023.4
Blue78
598032.1
516118.3
258626.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606840801001207978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.7
23.425.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End6.1
blue by 4.2
5980
#10
32.11.2
25.226.4
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End7.2
Second
830
#24
23.41.7
18.220.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End5.0
blue by 3.5
2586
#12
26.91.2
23.524.7
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End4.2
Third
5462
#18
20.71.3
17.719.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.3
End3.9
red by 2.4
5161
#32
18.31.2
16.017.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed