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Red104
524824.0
261233.2
107627.7
Blue56
609215.5
613814.9
519424.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7344020608010012010456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.23.1
28.531.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.4
End6.3
red by 8.8
24.40.8
19.520.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End3.8
Second
27.72.9
23.326.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.4
red by 12.2
6092
#33
15.50.8
13.214.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Third
5248
#19
24.03.1
14.918.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End4.3
red by 9.1
6138
#40
14.90.8
14.615.4
Auto2.5
Teleop10.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed