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Red92
261233.2
601115.2
445327.9
Blue94
365826.9
600231.5
620819.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716940506080901001109294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.6
31.633.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.4
End6.3
red by 1.6
6002
#11
31.51.7
26.428.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.7
End3.6
Second
27.91.5
25.226.7
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End6.1
red by 1.0
3658
#17
26.91.4
23.825.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End3.7
Third
6011
#39
15.21.5
11.813.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End2.4
blue by 4.3
6208
#20
19.51.7
17.519.2
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed