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Red71
524824.0
448218.6
519424.4
Blue98
568516.8
283440.4
438129.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5092204060801001201407198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.41.3
20.321.6
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End3.8
blue by 16.1
40.40.4
38.739.2
Auto10.1
Teleop23.0
End7.2
Second
5248
#19
24.01.4
18.019.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End4.3
blue by 5.0
29.00.4
26.426.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End3.6
Third
4482
#26
18.61.3
16.718.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.5
red by 1.8
5685
#31
16.80.4
17.618.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed