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Red87
550122.6
598032.1
601115.2
Blue109
167714.1
600231.5
524824.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6459020408010012014087109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#10
32.11.9
29.030.9
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End7.2
red by 0.6
6002
#11
31.53.4
28.131.5
Auto8.2
Teleop19.7
End3.6
Second
5501
#37
22.62.1
19.221.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.6
End5.0
blue by 1.4
5248
#19
24.03.7
19.523.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End4.3
Third
6011
#39
15.21.9
13.315.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End2.4
red by 1.0
1677
#34
14.13.7
10.514.2
Auto1.0
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed