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Red29
568516.8
60539.3
609215.5
Blue72
61379.6
445327.9
604322.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4459020801001202972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5685
#31
16.81.2
18.016.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End3.6
blue by 11.1
27.91.3
26.727.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End6.1
Second
6092
#33
15.51.2
16.715.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 6.7
6043
#15
22.21.4
20.021.4
Auto2.6
Teleop16.2
End3.3
Third
6053
#38
9.31.2
10.59.3
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End3.0
blue by 0.3
6137
#35
9.61.3
8.49.6
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed