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Red135
283440.4
8538.8
546220.7
Blue89
600231.5
445327.9
125414.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12587406010014016018013589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.4
39.439.8
Auto10.1
Teleop23.0
End7.2
red by 8.9
6002
#11
31.50.1
31.731.5
Auto8.2
Teleop19.7
End3.6
Second
85
#1
38.80.4
37.838.2
Auto9.3
Teleop24.6
End5.0
red by 10.9
27.90.1
28.127.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End6.1
Third
5462
#18
20.70.4
19.720.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.3
End3.9
red by 5.8
1254
#28
14.90.1
15.014.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.2