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Red110
600231.5
445327.9
125414.9
Blue103
261125.7
107627.7
515222.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92966080120140160110103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6002
#11
31.50.3
31.531.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.7
End3.6
red by 3.9
27.70.0
28.128.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.4
Second
27.90.3
27.928.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End6.1
red by 2.3
2611
#14
25.70.0
26.126.1
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End4.4
Third
1254
#28
14.90.4
14.815.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.2
blue by 8.0
5152
#25
22.80.0
23.323.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2