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Red154
261130.3
546040.2
523827.8
Blue142
295933.8
335735.9
550232.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121120100110130140150154142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.3
39.740.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.9
End8.9
red by 4.3
35.90.3
35.235.4
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End5.8
Second
2611
#11
30.30.3
29.930.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.6
blue by 3.5
33.80.3
33.033.3
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End4.6
Third
5238
#17
27.80.3
27.427.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End3.6
blue by 4.6
5502
#19
32.40.3
31.731.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End9.9