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Red160
261130.3
546040.2
523827.8
Blue69
508427.8
524828.6
477621.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1229505015020025016069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.4
39.039.5
Auto8.4
Teleop22.9
End8.9
red by 11.5
28.60.2
29.028.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End5.2
Second
2611
#11
30.30.4
29.229.6
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.6
red by 2.5
27.80.2
28.227.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Third
5238
#17
27.80.4
26.727.1
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End3.6
red by 6.1
4776
#28
21.70.2
22.121.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End2.9