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Red125
295933.8
335735.9
550232.4
Blue109
365532.9
438132.2
421629.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121117050100150200250125109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.0
34.934.9
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End5.8
red by 3.0
3655
#16
32.90.2
33.132.9
Auto10.2
Teleop18.9
End3.8
Second
33.80.0
32.732.7
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End4.6
red by 1.6
32.20.2
32.432.2
Auto8.8
Teleop18.1
End5.3
Third
5502
#19
32.40.0
31.431.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End9.9
red by 3.4
4216
#20
29.00.3
29.229.0
Auto7.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2