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Red72
522717.8
523120.4
570419.6
Blue86
295933.8
526029.6
335735.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458902060801001201407286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5231
#25
20.41.5
19.521.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End3.8
blue by 15.5
35.90.4
28.228.6
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End5.8
Second
5704
#26
19.61.5
18.119.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End4.8
blue by 14.1
33.80.4
27.327.8
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End4.6
Third
5227
#36
17.81.5
12.313.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End4.3
blue by 11.8
5260
#27
29.60.4
24.024.4
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed