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Red40
607819.0
567620.9
613716.6
Blue80
477621.7
365532.9
523423.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3765020801001204080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#32
20.90.6
17.516.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
blue by 11.9
3655
#16
32.91.0
28.229.2
Auto10.2
Teleop18.9
End3.8
Second
6078
#38
19.00.6
12.612.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End3.2
blue by 4.3
5234
#14
23.31.0
12.914.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.3
Third
6137
#30
16.60.4
10.29.8
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 5.1
4776
#28
21.71.7
18.220.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed