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Red89
550232.4
546040.2
567419.8
Blue99
555919.7
508427.8
365532.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787640601001208999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.9
31.932.8
Auto8.4
Teleop22.9
End8.9
red by 7.3
3655
#16
32.90.7
30.030.7
Auto10.2
Teleop18.9
End3.8
Second
5502
#19
32.40.9
23.424.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End9.9
red by 4.7
27.80.7
27.227.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Third
5674
#31
19.80.9
20.521.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End4.0
red by 0.1
5559
#29
19.71.1
16.817.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed