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Red73
568827.2
124322.8
523423.3
Blue75
440815.9
550129.3
562324.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62663040507080901007375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5688
#23
27.20.8
22.323.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.0
End5.3
blue by 2.1
5501
#21
29.30.1
23.924.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End8.3
Second
5234
#14
23.30.8
14.715.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.3
blue by 1.1
24.30.1
22.122.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.2
End4.9
Third
1243
#34
22.80.8
23.724.5
Auto9.8
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 6.9
4408
#40
15.90.1
17.817.9
Auto1.6
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed