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Red70
423730.7
456820.3
477621.7
Blue97
607819.0
150227.1
335735.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68714060801001207097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#12
30.70.2
27.027.2
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End7.3
blue by 5.2
35.91.6
29.430.9
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End5.8
Second
4776
#28
21.70.4
21.221.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End2.9
blue by 5.4
1502
#22
27.11.6
25.326.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
Third
4568
#39
20.30.4
18.218.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 1.3
6078
#38
19.02.6
13.916.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed