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Red69
477621.7
523827.8
613716.6
Blue81
520518.9
508427.8
550129.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616902040801001201406981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5238
#17
27.80.2
27.327.6
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End3.6
blue by 1.5
5501
#21
29.31.0
24.025.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End8.3
Second
4776
#28
21.70.4
21.622.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End2.9
blue by 6.1
27.81.0
27.928.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Third
6137
#30
16.60.2
11.711.9
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 2.3
5205
#33
18.91.7
14.115.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed