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Red60
423730.7
522717.8
550232.4
Blue85
528223.0
524828.6
124322.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697502040601001201401606085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5502
#19
32.40.5
24.223.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End9.9
red by 3.8
28.60.9
28.929.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End5.2
Second
4237
#12
30.70.5
27.226.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End7.3
red by 7.7
5282
#35
23.00.9
18.419.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End5.3
Third
5227
#36
17.80.5
16.415.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End4.3
blue by 5.0
1243
#34
22.80.9
24.525.4
Auto9.8
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed