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Red49
524828.6
520518.9
477621.7
Blue83
568827.2
261130.3
546040.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63982040801201401604983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.5
30.328.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End5.2
blue by 11.5
40.20.8
35.334.5
Auto8.4
Teleop22.9
End8.9
Second
4776
#28
21.72.5
21.218.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End2.9
blue by 8.6
2611
#11
30.30.8
29.728.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.6
Third
5205
#33
18.92.5
15.312.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End4.4
blue by 8.3
5688
#23
27.20.8
24.924.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed