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Red59
6830.2
526029.6
124322.8
Blue112
168437.6
261235.1
508427.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75114406010014016059112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#15
30.21.3
27.326.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.5
End3.8
blue by 7.4
37.60.6
38.537.9
Auto7.2
Teleop23.5
End6.9
Second
5260
#27
29.61.3
26.725.4
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End3.9
blue by 5.6
35.10.6
36.936.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
1243
#34
22.81.3
24.923.6
Auto9.8
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 4.9
27.80.6
30.029.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned