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Red72
523827.8
518226.8
456820.3
Blue87
613716.6
438132.2
365532.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7377506080901001107287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5238
#17
27.80.3
28.928.6
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End3.6
blue by 5.1
3655
#16
32.90.9
30.631.4
Auto10.2
Teleop18.9
End3.8
Second
5182
#18
26.80.3
21.921.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End6.3
blue by 5.4
32.20.9
30.531.4
Auto8.8
Teleop18.1
End5.3
Third
4568
#39
20.30.5
20.319.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 3.6
6137
#30
16.60.9
12.713.6
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed