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Red72
567620.9
421629.0
440815.9
Blue75
335735.9
570419.6
555919.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68752040601001201407275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4216
#20
29.00.5
25.726.3
Auto7.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
blue by 6.9
35.90.5
32.832.3
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End5.8
Second
5676
#32
20.90.5
22.623.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
red by 1.3
5559
#29
19.70.8
19.418.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Third
4408
#40
15.90.3
18.819.1
Auto1.6
Teleop11.3
End3.1
blue by 3.7
5704
#26
19.60.5
20.019.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed