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Red70
550129.3
547320.2
607819.0
Blue90
150428.3
522717.8
295933.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677240506080901001107090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#21
29.30.3
26.126.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End8.3
blue by 4.5
33.81.4
32.133.5
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End4.6
Second
5473
#10
20.20.3
21.021.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.3
blue by 8.1
1504
#24
28.32.3
21.924.1
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End5.5
Third
6078
#38
19.00.5
18.519.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End3.2
red by 1.2
5227
#36
17.81.4
15.616.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed