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Red74
547320.2
567620.9
261130.3
Blue106
421629.0
568827.2
168437.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7697406012014016074106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#11
30.30.2
29.729.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.6
blue by 7.3
37.61.0
38.039.0
Auto7.2
Teleop23.5
End6.9
Second
5676
#32
20.90.3
25.625.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
blue by 8.0
4216
#20
29.01.5
28.830.3
Auto7.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
Third
5473
#10
20.20.2
21.821.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.3
blue by 7.0
5688
#23
27.21.0
24.125.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed