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Red77
261235.1
607819.0
528223.0
Blue81
523827.8
440815.9
438132.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8082506070901001101207781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.1
37.937.9
Auto11.1
Teleop18.4
End5.6
red by 3.0
32.20.5
33.132.5
Auto8.8
Teleop18.1
End5.3
Second
5282
#35
23.00.1
20.320.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End5.3
blue by 4.8
5238
#17
27.80.5
27.927.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End3.6
Third
6078
#38
19.00.1
19.719.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End3.2
red by 3.0
4408
#40
15.90.5
18.217.6
Auto1.6
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed