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Red42
569413.0
550129.3
124322.8
Blue102
150227.1
365532.9
567419.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69862040608010012014042102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#21
29.31.8
29.828.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End8.3
blue by 3.6
3655
#16
32.91.1
30.731.8
Auto10.2
Teleop18.9
End3.8
Second
1243
#34
22.81.8
23.221.4
Auto9.8
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 4.3
1502
#22
27.11.1
29.130.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
Third
5694
#37
13.01.8
16.414.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.8
End1.1
blue by 6.8
5674
#31
19.81.1
21.122.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed