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Red50
569413.0
365532.9
528223.0
Blue84
335735.9
150428.3
261130.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628020401001201405084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#16
32.90.8
29.028.2
Auto10.2
Teleop18.9
End3.8
blue by 3.0
35.90.3
27.928.2
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End5.8
Second
5282
#35
23.00.8
21.220.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End5.3
blue by 7.3
2611
#11
30.30.3
27.127.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.6
Third
5694
#37
13.00.8
12.411.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.8
End1.1
blue by 15.3
1504
#24
28.30.4
19.920.4
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed