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Red64
150227.1
555919.7
550129.3
Blue73
6830.2
568827.2
423730.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67750501001502006473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#21
29.30.5
23.322.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End8.3
blue by 1.4
4237
#12
30.70.1
24.524.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End7.3
Second
1502
#22
27.10.5
25.424.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
blue by 3.1
68
#15
30.20.1
25.825.9
Auto10.0
Teleop16.5
End3.8
Third
5559
#29
19.70.8
17.216.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End3.5
blue by 7.5
5688
#23
27.20.1
21.121.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed