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Red109
54837.0
50333.8
521718.2
Blue117
354832.6
118824.2
354227.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121086080100120140160180109117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#8
37.00.0
37.537.5
Auto9.0
Teleop22.3
End5.7
red by 4.4
3548
#12
32.60.1
33.533.6
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End5.6
Second
503
#5
33.80.0
34.334.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End7.0
red by 6.4
3542
#20
27.40.1
28.328.4
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End4.5
Third
5217
#25
18.20.0
18.618.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 6.0
24.20.1
25.125.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End4.8