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Red109
54837.0
50333.8
521718.2
Blue90
354832.6
118824.2
354227.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111109608010012014016018010990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#8
37.00.3
37.537.2
Auto9.0
Teleop22.3
End5.7
red by 4.4
3548
#12
32.60.4
33.633.2
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End5.6
Second
503
#5
33.80.3
34.334.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End7.0
red by 6.4
3542
#20
27.40.4
28.428.0
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End4.5
Third
5217
#25
18.20.3
18.618.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 6.0
24.20.4
25.324.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End4.8